Odds Outlook
Your weekly dose of prediction market moves, boldest bets, and hidden gems in forecasting.
The Fed's September hike odds shed 12 points in a week, the Strait of Hormuz is still missing roughly 70 ships a day, and a $281 million market in Ethiopia refuses to die.
Markets spent the week doing what they do: turning every macro shock, military headline, and weather report into tradable options.
Half a billion dollars changed hands betting on an airstrike. Then the house invoked a clause buried in chapter six.
Spotlight on sports betting, AI surges, Musk’s tweet frenzy. Is the gov closed today?
Post-election hangover, wild bets on world leaders' outfits, and the latest markets that made us say, "Wait - you can bet on THAT?"
